Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.523581e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.853148e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.291774e-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.827428e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.435079e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000024
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.138698e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.879362e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000035
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.568392e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000040
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.340048e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025 0.000046
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.134008e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000026 0.000052
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.986520e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000029 0.000060
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.914503e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000073
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.756603e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000083
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.634411e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000038 0.000097
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.517823e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000041 0.000111
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.415613e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000019 0.000045 0.000127
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.324552e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000048 0.000146
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.255772e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000053 0.000171
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.192151e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000058 0.000201
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.102240e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000060 0.000219
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.035634e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000063 0.000247
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 9.718281e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000066 0.000275
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 9.267622e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000072 0.000317